Recessions, Inflation & Rate Hikes
GBP Strong employment data saw Sterling take a jump at the back end of last week, bolstered by record wage growth and elevated rate hike bets. We’ve now seen 13 consecutive hikes, with rates being the highest since April 2008. Another hike seems more than likely on the BoE’s next decision on August 3rd. BoE…
Read MoreBoE Rate Hike Expected
GBP The pound rallied by just under a percent last week versus the dollar as markets priced in 15bp of tightening by the Bank of England by the December 2021 meeting with a further 75bp expected next year. This led to cable being at it’s highest since the start of October which has taken the…
Read MoreHawkish BoE Helps Sterling Recover
GBP The pound has had a good start to October recovering by 1.6% versus the dollar and 2% against the euro. This rally has been fuelled by the recent reactions from central bankers to rising inflation rates with the Bank of England being seen as the first to raise rates. This was further backed up…
Read MoreJobs Report Key for Further Dollar Strength
GBP The pound weakened against every G10 currency last week as the markets lost conference in the UK economy due to energy and stagflation concerns. What is most concerning for sterling is this weakness wasn’t reversed with hawkish comments from Andrew Bailey and the OIS curve indicating that a markets have priced in a interest…
Read MoreInflation, Fuel and Politics
GBP The pound finished flat against the dollar last week but with 1% of volatility as the markets navigated both the Fed and Bank of England. Against the euro, the pound lost 0.1% but like the dollar also had 1% swings in the currency pair. Sterling weakened off at the beginning of the week as…
Read MoreMarkets Await Fed and BoE
GBP The pound managed to stay flat against the euro but lost half a percent to the dollar in a week which saw strong inflation numbers but poor retail sales. It would seem markets are starting to weigh up the possibility of global stagflation as prices rise but economic output fails to increase. One of…
Read MoreMarkets Watching Inflation Closely
GBP The pound had a mixed week increasing against the euro by 0.4% but decreasing by 0.2% against the dollar. On Thursday the pound had its strongest one-day gain against the euro since July, this came off the back of comments from Bank of England Governor Andrew Bailey that BoE policymakers are actively and openly…
Read MoreFed Minutes Likely to Boost Dollar
GBP The pound had a poor week as it lost ground versus every G10 currency, bar the Swiss Franc. Versus the dollar and euro, sterling depreciated by 0.3%. It appears that the bullish sentiment on the pound has lost support over the last week, as markets start to question the Bank of England’s optimistic outlook,…
Read MoreBOE Looks to Remain Dovish
GBP The pound was the third best G10 currency last week as it strengthened by 1.2% versus the dollar and 0.3% against the euro. Falling Covid numbers helped to give sterling a boost, as investors regained confidence in UK economy and are no longer worried about restrictions needing to be put back in place. In…
Read MoreAll Eyes on the ECB
GBP The pound finished the week down against both the dollar and euro despite the change in tone from the Bank of England and better than expected CPI figures. Two speeches last week from Monetary Policy Members Ramsden and Saunders were more hawkish than the markets expected, and sterling rallied off the back of it,…
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