Turbulent Week for the Pound Ahead

GBP Anticipation of more interest rate rises from the BoE surfaced last week, helping breathe some strength back into the Pound, which was much needed after a week of gloomy data releases around the UK economy. RICS (Royal Institution of Chartered Surveyors) reported that the outlook for the UK housing market is reaching levels not…

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Is the Rate Hike Cycle Finally Coming to an End?

GBP Sterling had been volatile anticipating the Bank of England’s rate hike decision last Thursday, with investors and speculators trying to guess the outcome. The BoE voted for another 0.25% increase in interest rates. This coupled with July’s negative PMI data, along with negative UK house price data sent the Pound falling against most of…

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Is BoE’s Monetary Policy finally working?

GBP Following the release of UK inflation figures on Wednesday, Sterling dropped against all G10 currencies. Official inflation for June was confirmed at 7.90%, a 3.0% drop compared to market expectations and a 0.80% drop from last month’s figures. These figures are still way above the BoE’s target rate of 2%, however, is the drop…

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Recessions, Inflation & Rate Hikes

GBP Strong employment data saw Sterling take a jump at the back end of last week, bolstered by record wage growth and elevated rate hike bets. We’ve now seen 13 consecutive hikes, with rates being the highest since April 2008. Another hike seems more than likely on the BoE’s next decision on August 3rd. BoE…

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BoE Rate Hike Expected

GBP The pound rallied by just under a percent last week versus the dollar as markets priced in 15bp of tightening by the Bank of England by the December 2021 meeting with a further 75bp expected next year. This led to cable being at it’s highest since the start of October which has taken the…

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Hawkish BoE Helps Sterling Recover

GBP The pound has had a good start to October recovering by 1.6% versus the dollar and 2% against the euro. This rally has been fuelled by the recent reactions from central bankers to rising inflation rates with the Bank of England being seen as the first to raise rates. This was further backed up…

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Jobs Report Key for Further Dollar Strength

GBP The pound weakened against every G10 currency last week as the markets lost conference in the UK economy due to energy and stagflation concerns. What is most concerning for sterling is this weakness wasn’t reversed with hawkish comments from Andrew Bailey and the OIS curve indicating that a markets have priced in a interest…

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Inflation, Fuel and Politics

GBP The pound finished flat against the dollar last week but with 1% of volatility as the markets navigated both the Fed and Bank of England. Against the euro, the pound lost 0.1% but like the dollar also had 1% swings in the currency pair. Sterling weakened off at the beginning of the week as…

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Markets Await Fed and BoE

GBP The pound managed to stay flat against the euro but lost half a percent to the dollar in a week which saw strong inflation numbers but poor retail sales. It would seem markets are starting to weigh up the possibility of global stagflation as prices rise but economic output fails to increase. One of…

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