Challenges and Uncertainties Await Sterling

GBP Sterling has been under relentless pressure against the Dollar for the past 11 weeks, due to investors and speculators worrying about the UK’ weak economic outlook. Analysts predict that the selloff is likely to continue, with a target of GBP|USD 1.20 in the coming weeks (currently 1.2187 at the time of writing). GBP|EUR also…

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Turbulent Week for the Pound Ahead

GBP Anticipation of more interest rate rises from the BoE surfaced last week, helping breathe some strength back into the Pound, which was much needed after a week of gloomy data releases around the UK economy. RICS (Royal Institution of Chartered Surveyors) reported that the outlook for the UK housing market is reaching levels not…

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Recessions, Inflation & Rate Hikes

GBP Strong employment data saw Sterling take a jump at the back end of last week, bolstered by record wage growth and elevated rate hike bets. We’ve now seen 13 consecutive hikes, with rates being the highest since April 2008. Another hike seems more than likely on the BoE’s next decision on August 3rd. BoE…

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Jobs Report Key for Further Dollar Strength

GBP The pound weakened against every G10 currency last week as the markets lost conference in the UK economy due to energy and stagflation concerns. What is most concerning for sterling is this weakness wasn’t reversed with hawkish comments from Andrew Bailey and the OIS curve indicating that a markets have priced in a interest…

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Inflation, Fuel and Politics

GBP The pound finished flat against the dollar last week but with 1% of volatility as the markets navigated both the Fed and Bank of England. Against the euro, the pound lost 0.1% but like the dollar also had 1% swings in the currency pair. Sterling weakened off at the beginning of the week as…

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Pound Needs BOE’s Support to Push Higher

GBP The pound had a volatile time last week with both positive and negatives driving the currency up and down. On Thursday, the Bank of England Governor Andrew Baily made a speech where he warned overreacting to “temporary” inflationary pressures, prompting some re-pricing in tightening expectations and sell off in Sterling. On the positive side,…

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Can the Fed Still Ignore Inflation?

GBP The Pound had a mixed week making a small gain of 0.1% against the Euro but fell by 0.4% against the Dollar. April’s GDP and industrial production figures were slightly disappointing on Friday and the hangover from Brexit has weighed on the Pound. The so called “sausage war” is leading to growing tensions between…

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Super Thursday Expected to Drive Volatility

GBP The Pound had a difficult week, losing ground against every G10 currency apart from the New Zealand Dollar. Against the Euro, Sterling finished flat but lost a quarter of one percent to the US Dollar. The Pound has suffered due to uncertainty around the full reopening of the economy on the 21st of June.…

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