Posts Tagged ‘Inflation’
Jackson Hole Countdown: Will Inflation Tip the Scales?
Summary A data heavy week lies ahead, culminating in the Jackson Hole Economic Policy Symposium. Markets are poised for significant FX moves around UK CPI and activity data, FOMC minutes and Chair Powell’s address, and President Lagarde’s remarks alongside Euro Area PMIs. The near term direction for USD, GBP, and EUR will hinge on whether…
Read MoreKey Economic Data and Political Moves Set to Drive FX Markets This Week
Interest Rates & Inflation Region Interest Rate Inflation UK 4.00% 3.6% EU 2.15% 2.0% US 4.50% 2.7% Last week in FX markets: The pound experienced notable volatility, with GBP/USD edging higher amid firmer UK data suggesting an uptick in economic resilience. Stronger-than-expected inflation and employment signals helped buoy Sterling against the US dollar, as markets…
Read MoreRates on Hold, Markets on Edge: Trade Deals, Inflation and Fed Pressure in Focus
Key Dates & Policy Updates UK EU US Major News Highlights Trade & Politics Equities & Commodities FX Forecasts & Market Outlook GBP/USD GBP/EUR EUR/USD & USD Summary Table Region Inflation Rate Decision Policy Outlook FX/Near-Term Forecast UK CPI 3.6% (June) 4.25% held No cut until at least Sept GBP/USD weak; GBP/EUR mean reversion to…
Read MoreMarkets Await Key Inflation Data and Spring Statement as GBP Holds Firm
GBP The Pound struggled against its major counterparts on Friday after the Bank of England (BoE) left interest rates unchanged at 4.5%. Despite a slightly hawkish tone, the decision weighed on Sterling. The Monetary Policy Committee (MPC) voted 8-1 to maintain rates, with only Swati Dhingra supporting a 25 basis point cut. Markets had expected…
Read MoreMarket Insights: Currency Trends, Gold Rally, and FTSE 100 Volatility
Foreign Exchange Market Overview: GBP, EUR, and USD In recent weeks, the foreign exchange market has experienced significant fluctuations, particularly among the British Pound (GBP), Euro (EUR), and US Dollar (USD). These movements have been influenced by various geopolitical events, economic policies, and market sentiment. Euro (EUR) Performance and Outlook The Euro has demonstrated notable…
Read MorePound Resilient Amid Tariff Tensions and Central Bank Shifts
GBP The Pound held firm last week, supported by comments from Bank of England (BoE) Deputy Governor Dave Ramsden, who emphasised the need for a gradual approach to rate cuts. Investors continue to expect the BoE’s easing cycle to be more measured than other major central banks, with markets pricing in two rate cuts this…
Read MoreGBP Surges to 2025 High as UK Economy Shows Resilience
British Pound (GBP): The British Pound has been on an upward trajectory against the US Dollar, reaching its highest level in 2025. This appreciation is largely driven by stronger-than-expected UK GDP data, which showed an unexpected 0.1% growth in the fourth quarter of the previous year—reinforcing confidence in the UK’s economic resilience. Against the Euro,…
Read MoreGBP Awaits GDP Data, Lagarde & Powell in Focus
Currency Pairs – Mid-Market Rates Currency Pair Rate GBP – USD 1.2405 GBP – EUR 1.2030 EUR – USD 1.0310 Interest Rates & Inflation Country Interest Rate Inflation Eurozone 2.9% 2.5% UK 4.5% 2.5% US 4.5% 2.9% GBP EUR USD We specialise in helping businesses and individuals manage foreign exchange risks through expert insights, personalised…
Read MorePound Holds Firm Ahead of BoE Decision, Euro Struggles, and Dollar Gains on Market Uncertainty
GBP The British Pound is behaving like a safe-haven currency as markets react to the latest U.S. tariff announcements from President Trump. While the U.S. Dollar is strengthening, the Pound is holding up well. This suggests that investors see the UK as less vulnerable to tariffs compared to major exporters like the Eurozone. The UK…
Read MoreSterling Holds Firm, Dollar Faces Volatility, and Euro Eyes Economic Challenges
Currency Pairs (Mid-Market Rates) Interest Rates Inflation UK Tuesday – Claimant Count Change:The Pound held steady after UK wage growth data surprised to the upside. Average Earnings (Excluding Bonus) rose by 5.6%, beating expectations and highlighting robust wage growth. However, weak labour growth (+35K workers) and a higher unemployment rate (4.4% vs. 4.3% prior) reveal…
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