Posts Tagged ‘Jackson Hole’
Jackson Hole Countdown: Will Inflation Tip the Scales?
Summary A data heavy week lies ahead, culminating in the Jackson Hole Economic Policy Symposium. Markets are poised for significant FX moves around UK CPI and activity data, FOMC minutes and Chair Powell’s address, and President Lagarde’s remarks alongside Euro Area PMIs. The near term direction for USD, GBP, and EUR will hinge on whether…
Read MorePound Gains as BoE Eyes Cautious Easing; Euro Stagnates Amid Weak Data; Dollar Under Pressure Ahead of Key Fed Decision
GBP The Pound showed strength against its major peers during this morning’s session, driven by expectations that the Bank of England will slow its policy-easing cycle compared to other central banks. Despite a noticeable slowdown in UK services inflation (a key indicator closely watched by BoE policymakers) the reduction hasn’t been sufficient to trigger aggressive…
Read MoreStrong Wage & Inflation Data Provide Support for Sterling amid Recession Concerns
GBP Wage growth and inflation data were both reported stronger than expected last week. The ONS reported “In April to June 2023, the annual growth for regular pay (excluding bonuses) was 7.8%. This is the highest annual growth rate since comparable records began in 2001.” Statista reported “UK inflation rate was 6.8 percent in July…
Read MoreFed Minutes Likely to Boost Dollar
GBP The pound had a poor week as it lost ground versus every G10 currency, bar the Swiss Franc. Versus the dollar and euro, sterling depreciated by 0.3%. It appears that the bullish sentiment on the pound has lost support over the last week, as markets start to question the Bank of England’s optimistic outlook,…
Read MoreThe First ever virtual Jackson Hole Symposium
GBP The pound had a turbulent second half of last week, on Wednesday it nearly equaled the year high against the dollar before dropping a percent and a half. Cable then repeated this pattern over the course of Thursday afternoon and into Friday. Against the euro we saw a similar volatility of 1.4% towards the…
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